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Could Elon Musk’s New Political Party Cost Republicans The Congressional Majority?

Conservative Angle

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Feb 22, 2018
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Elon Musk announced the formation of the America Party on Saturday following a poll he posted on X asking about the creation of a new political party.

“Independence Day is the perfect time to ask if you want independence from the two-party (some would say uniparty) system! Should we create the America Party?” Musk asked Friday.

With over 1.2 million tallies, about 65% of voters chose ‘yes’ to the party’s formation.

Independence Day is the perfect time to ask if you want independence from the two-party (some would say uniparty) system!

Should we create the America Party?

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 4, 2025
“One way to execute on this would be to laser-focus on just 2 or 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House districts. Given the razor-thin legislative margins, that would be enough to serve as the deciding vote on contentious laws, ensuring that they serve the true will of the people,” Musk added.

One way to execute on this would be to laser-focus on just 2 or 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House districts.

Given the razor-thin legislative margins, that would be enough to serve as the deciding vote on contentious laws, ensuring that they serve the true will of the people.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 4, 2025
“By a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it! When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy,” Musk said Saturday.

“Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom,” he added.

By a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it!

When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy.

Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom. https://t.co/9K8AD04QQN

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 5, 2025
Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House, and conservative commentators fear a new party would allow Democrats to recapture control of the legislative chamber.

Fox News explained:

Some on the right voiced concern in the comments section that a third party could split the conservative vote and help Democrats win more easily.

“Your third party will disproportionately take votes from the right vs the left and give the left an easier path to power,” conservative commentator Shawn Farash posted.

Others, like Joey Mannarino, urged Musk to focus instead on reforming the GOP from within.

Critics also pointed out that the X poll was informal, not limited to American voters and vulnerable to bots.

Third parties have traditionally had a difficult time gaining ground in American politics as the system is built for two dominant parties. With the Electoral College, winner-take-all elections and strict ballot access laws, outsiders cannot meaningfully compete. Even when a third-party candidate catches fire, it rarely lasts beyond a single election cycle.

One of the biggest third-party efforts in recent history was Ross Perot’s 1992 run.

He earned nearly 19% of the popular vote as an independent but didn’t win a single Electoral College vote. It was the closest a third-party candidate got to the White House after President Teddy Roosevelt’s famed Bull Moose Party run in 1912 against his onetime protégé, William Howard Taft.
It appears Musk will not wait until 2028 for the America Party to make an impact in Washington D.C.

“Midterms or 2028?” one X user asked Musk.

“Next year,” he responded.

Next year

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 5, 2025
How many congressional races in the 2026 midterm elections could the ‘America Party’ field a candidate?

That’s the big question.

BREAKING: Elon Musk says the America Party will contest the 2026 midterm elections. pic.twitter.com/VyVh3jGwU8

— DogeDesigner (@cb_doge) July 5, 2025
The Guardian noted:

He also suggested the party would run during the 2026 midterms.

New political parties do not have to formally register with the Federal Election Commission “until they raise or spend money over certain thresholds in connection with a federal election”.

Musk’s posts on Friday and Saturday came after he spent $277m of his fortune supporting Trump’s victorious 2024 presidential campaign. The Republican president rewarded Musk by appointing him to lead the unofficial “department of government efficiency”, or Doge, which abruptly and chaotically slashed various government jobs and programs while claiming it saved $190bn.

But Doge’s actions may also have cost taxpayers $135bn, according to an analysis by the Partnership for Public Service, a nonpartisan non-profit dedicated to studying the federal workforce.

Musk left Doge at the end of May and more recently became incensed at Trump’s support for a budget bill that would increase the US debt by $3.3tn. He threatened to financially support primary challenges against every member of Congress who supported Trump’s spending bill – along with promising to “form the America Party” if it passed.

The House voted 218 to 214 in favor of the spending bill, with just two Republicans joining every Democrat in the chamber in unsuccessfully opposing it. In the Senate, JD Vance broke a 50-50 deadlock in favor of the bill, which Trump signed on Friday hours after Musk posted his America party-related poll.

The Trump spending bill’s voting breakdown illustrated how narrowly the winning side in Congress carries some of the most controversial matters.
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